CHINA : THREAT TO SOUTH EAST ASIAN'S SECURITY?

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Defence Expenditure (Con't)

After the Tianamen crisis in 1989, China’s defence expenditure has been increasing from 29 billion Yuan in 1990 to 63.1 billion Yuan in 1995 (see table 1). Increases from 1992 to 1993 appeared to be geared towards acquisition of modern weapons, however, several US intelligence studies have argued that the increased defence budget allocation could also be used for preparing for internal security problems9.  

Nevertheless, it is perceived that the overall increases in China’s defence spending are to compensate for years of low defence spending during the 1980s where the Chinese simply cannot afford it; offset the effects of inflation (which was 20% in the last several years and as high as 33% in 1991) and improve the quality of life for the forces. It is also very likely that some of the increases are channeled towards “rewarding” the PLA in crushing the 1989 Tianamen incident. The crisis established the role of the PLA  as the “party’s army” over it’s role as the “people army”. The Communist leadership is probably more aware of the need to assure the loyalty of the PLA cadres.

Table 1. : China’s Military Expenditure as a    percentage of the Gross Domestic Production (1986 to 1995) 

Year

ME
Yuan (Bn)

GDP
Yuan (Bn)

%

Year

ME
Yuan (Bn)

GDP
Yuan
(Bn)

%

1986

20.1

946

2.1

1991

33.0

1976

1.7

1987

21.0

1093

1.9

1992

37.8

2394

1.6

1988

21.8

1402

1.6

1993

42.6

3151

1.4

1989

25.1

1591

1.6

1994

55.1

4380

1.3

1990

29.0

1740

1.7

1995

63.1

4507

1.4

Sources : SIPRI, “SIPRI Yearbook 1996 : World Armaments and Disarmament and International Security ”, (Oxford : Oxford University Press, 1996), p. 373,  IISS, “The Military Balance (from 1987 to 1995/6)”, (London : IISS).


9.  Amitav Acharya and Paul M Evans, “China’s Defence Expenditures : Trends and Implications”, Eastern Asia Policy papers, no. 1, (University of Toronto - York University Joint Centre for Asia Pacific Studies, 1994), p. 9.

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Home ] Introduction ] Projected Theats & Regional Implications ] Defence Budget 1 ] [ Defence Budget 2 ] Defence Budget 3 ] Military Capabilities 1 ] Military Capabilities 2 ] Military Capabilties 3 ] Modernisation of PLA1 ] Modernisation of the PLA2 ] Modernisation of the PLA3 ] Modernisation of the PLA4 ] Modernisation of the PLA 5 ] China's Intentions1 ] China's Intentions2 ] China's Intentions3 ] China's Intentions4 ] China's Constraints1 ] China's Constraints2 ] China's Constraints3 ] Balance of Power ] Asean Strategy ] Conclusion ] Bibliography ]
 

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